This has all happened before


Editor: This piece was originally published on January 2, 2020. Given how 2020 is panning out, it appears prescient to have published it at the start of the year, and prescient to do an encore now.

Through the nationalist grapevine I have discovered an essay by Sir John Glubb entitled The Fate of Empires and Search for Survival. It is only 25 pages and is easy to read. Sir Glubb served the British Army in World War 1 and as an administrator of British held territory in the Middle East. His essay compared the life cycle of 11 nations/empires and made three conclusions.

Firstly, the average lifespan of any nation which becomes predominant regionally or globally is 250 years, roughly ten generations.

Secondly, nations go through a relentless cycle:

  • Outburst
  • Conquest
  • Commerce
  • Affluence
  • Intellect
  • Decadence
  • Decline
  • Collapse

Thirdly, this pattern has occurred over the course of 3000 years and remains unchanged by race, religion, region, climate or technology.

A passage which screamed out at me was Sir Glubb’s summary of the Arab decline in the ninth century. Below is a lengthy cut and paste, and I have highlighted the most astounding moments. I will follow this with my own thoughts.

XXIV The Arab decline

“In the first half of the ninth century, Baghdad enjoyed its High Noon as the greatest and the richest city in the world. In 861, however, the reigning Khalif (caliph), Mutawakkil, was murdered by his Turkish mercenaries, who set up a military dictator- ship, which lasted for some thirty years. During this period the empire fell apart, the various dominions and provinces each assuming virtual independence and seeking its own interests. Baghdad, lately the capital of a vast empire, found its authority limited to Iraq alone.

“The works of the contemporary historians of Baghdad in the early tenth century are still available. They deeply deplored the degeneracy of the times in which they lived, emphasising particularly the indifference to religion, the increasing materialism and the laxity of sexual morals. They lamented also the corruption of the officials of the government and the fact that politicians always seemed to amass large fortunes while they were in office.

The historians commented bitterly on the extraordinary influence acquired by popular singers over young people, resulting in a decline in sexual morality. The ‘pop’ singers of Baghdad accompanied their erotic songs on the lute, an instrument resembling the modern guitar. In the second half of the tenth century, as a result, much obscene sexual language came increasingly into use, such as would not have been tolerated in an earlier age. Several khalifs issued orders banning ‘pop’ singers from the capital, but within a few years they always returned.

An increase in the influence of women in public life has often been associated with na-tional decline. The later Romans complained that, although Rome ruled the world, women ruled Rome. In the tenth century, a similar tendency was observable in the Arab Empire, the women demanding admission to the professions hitherto monopolised by men. ‘What,’ wrote the contemporary historian, Ibn Bessam, ‘have the professions of clerk, tax-collector or preacher to do with women? These occupations have always been limited to men alone.’ Many women practised law, while others obtained posts as university professors. There was an agitation for the appointment of female judges, which, however, does not appear to have succeeded.

“Soon after this period, government and public order collapsed, and foreign invaders overran the country. The resulting increase in confusion and violence made it unsafe for women to move unescorted in the streets, with the result that this feminist movement collapsed.

The disorders following the military take-over in 861, and the loss of the empire, had played havoc with the economy. At such a moment, it might have been expected that everyone would redouble their efforts to save the country from bankruptcy, but nothing of the kind occurred. Instead, at this moment of declining trade and financial stringency, the people of Baghdad introduced a five-day week.

“When I first read these contemporary descriptions of tenth-century Baghdad, I could scarcely believe my eyes. I told myself that this must be a joke! The descriptions might have been taken out of The Times today. The resemblance of all the details was especially breathtaking—the break-up of the empire, the abandonment of sexual morality, the ‘pop’ singers with their guitars, the entry of women into the professions, the five-day week. I would not venture to attempt an explanation! There are so many mysteries about human life which are far beyond our comprehension.”

I have to admit, I chuckled. “Progressive” is merely a word which degenerates who have no concept of their dire predicament call themselves.

This essay was published I believe in the 1970’s. How much longer do you think we can hold up? What to do? Will we ever break out of this cycle? Can we?

Two of the earliest stories in the Bible are the stories of The Flood and The Destruction of Sodom and Gomorrah. In each case, God warned a single righteous family that he was going to destroy their world due to its immorality. In the first case the family built an ark, in the second they fled. The fact that these stories are placed so early in the Bible makes them foundational, archetypal. Indeed the very first story, that of Adam and Eve, is the story of how we were caste out of our first home, Eden, due to our own sin.

This makes the story of rise and fall, of protecting one’s family and relocating to a new homeland to start anew, one of the most fundamental characteristics of human experience.

The ultimate goal of our own political activism should thus be to secure the continued existence of our families, of our people. In Europe, particularly Central and Eastern Europe, it looks likely that our people will regain control of governments and steer away from collapse. The end of the Cold War may be the start of the outburst stage for Eastern Europe and the collapse stage for the West.

Here in the colonies, the globalist forces appear more entrenched and the immigrant foreign invasion is more advanced. The so-called “Democratic system” is rigged against us, and as was shown with the marginalisation of Fraser Anning in Australia and the deep state war against Donald Trump in America, this system will not allow any voice of the native European people to be heard.

Australia was founded in 1788, America in 1776 (and we can quibble that both were founded earlier.)  That 250 year mark is coming up awfully fast.

Our strategy therefore should be to create arks, fortresses, to build strong families and communities of Real Australians (and Real Americans) so that we can stay alive and defend ourselves when civilisation collapses around us or the occupation of our countries is made a little more formal. To the extent that we focus on political action to change the zeitgeist or to even get another voice in parliament, it should be with the understanding that we are making our people aware of what stage in the life cycle of nations we are at, and to prepare accordingly.